Annecy 2–1 RED Star FC 93: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Annecy

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

RED Star FC 93

A. Larose 74'

T. Rambaud 49'

K. Cabral 82'

2/20/2026

Ligue 2 · Round 24Parc des Sports

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

Annecy42%

×Draw27%

RED Star FC 9330%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AnnecyExpected goals in this matchRED Star FC 93

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.33

1.08

Annecy

1.33

RED Star FC 93

1.08

Annecy creates 23% more chances

Season form · 72 home / 53 away

1.25

creates per match

1.08

1.07

allows per match

1.42

creates per match

Annecy

1.25

RED Star FC 93

1.08

allows per match

Annecy

1.07

RED Star FC 93

1.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Annecy+0.00on par

RED Star FC 93+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Annecy ↓

RED Star FC 93 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Annecy or draw

70%

Annecy or RED Star FC 93

73%

Draw or RED Star FC 93

58%

Winning margin

Annecy wins by 2+

19%

RED Star FC 93 wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Annecy 1+ goals

74%

Annecy 2+ goals

38%

Annecy 3+ goals

15%

RED Star FC 93 1+ goals

66%

RED Star FC 93 2+ goals

29%

RED Star FC 93 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Annecy (draw refunded)

58%

RED Star FC 93 (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Annecy at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.07 · 72 matches

RED Star FC 93 away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.42 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Annecy attack 1.25 + RED Star FC 93 defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.33

RED Star FC 93 attack 1.08 + Annecy defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Annecy scores more

42%

level

27%

RED Star FC 93 scores more

30%

Annecy at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Annecy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

C. Billemaz

Annecy · M

7.6

Match Events

9'

Axel Drouhin

45+2'

Clement Billemaz

45+1'

Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez

48'

Hacene Benali

49'

T. Rambaud↳ F. Lajugie

56'

D. Sylla← H. Benali

63'

S. E. Khaoui← P. Lemonnier

64'

A. Hachem← P. M. Ba

72'

V. Jacob← C. Billemaz

72'

74'

75'

75'

81'

C. Makutungu← A. Larose

81'

M. S. Dion← A. Casadei

82'

K. Cabral

87'

A. Hbouch←

88'

Giovanni Haag

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AnnecyRED

Overview

49%Possession51%

15Total Shots11

2Corners4

15Fouls9

Shots

15Total Shots11

8On Target4

7Off Target6

1Blocked1

9Inside Box10

6Outside Box1

Passing

49%Possession51%

389Total Passes412

300Accurate Passes298

77%Pass Accuracy72%

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

Discipline

15Fouls9

3Yellow Cards2

2Offsides3