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Angelholms FF vs Kristianstad — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Angelholms FF
Angelholms FF
FT
8 – 1
HT: 3 – 1
Kristianstad
Kristianstad
Unknown 72' (OG)
J. Gudmundsson 63'
A. Gustafson 62'
M. Eriksson 51'
T. Amilon Persson 50', 19', 16'
L. Persson 0'
Unknown 0'
2/15/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Angelholms FF66%
×Draw16%
Kristianstad17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Angelholms FF
2.88
Kristianstad
1.44

Angelholms FF creates 100% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 4 away

creates per match

Angelholms FF
2.50
Kristianstad
1.25

allows per match

Angelholms FF
1.63
Kristianstad
3.25

finishing

Angelholms FF+0.00on par
Kristianstad+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Angelholms FF ↓

Kristianstad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–16%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Angelholms FF or draw
83%
Angelholms FF or Kristianstad
84%
Draw or Kristianstad
34%

Winning margin

Angelholms FF wins by 2+
46%
Kristianstad wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Angelholms FF 1+ goals
94%
Angelholms FF 2+ goals
78%
Angelholms FF 3+ goals
54%
Kristianstad 1+ goals
76%
Kristianstad 2+ goals
42%
Kristianstad 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Angelholms FF (draw refunded)
79%
Kristianstad (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Angelholms FF at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Kristianstad away — creates 1.25, concedes 3.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Angelholms FF attack 2.50 + Kristianstad defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.88

Kristianstad attack 1.25 + Angelholms FF defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Angelholms FF scores more
66%
level
16%
Kristianstad scores more
17%

Angelholms FF at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Angelholms FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

0'
L. Persson
0'
16'
T. Amilon Persson
19'
T. Amilon Persson
50'
T. Amilon Persson
51'
M. Eriksson
62'
A. Gustafson
63'
J. Gudmundsson
72'
Own goal
Angelholms
Kristianstad
A. Granqvist
Manager: A. Granqvist
A. Swahn
Manager: A. Swahn

Friendlies Clubs: Angelholms FF 8–1 Kristianstad

Angelholms FF beat Kristianstad 8-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 15, 2025.

Goals: L. Persson (0'), ? (0', 72' o.g.), T. Amilon Persson (16', 19', 50'), M. Eriksson (51'), A. Gustafson (62'), J. Gudmundsson (63').