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Andorra vs Liechtenstein — Friendlies 2026

Andorra
Andorra
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
Jordi Alaez 80' (pen)
A. Martinez 73'
6/4/2026FriendliesFriendlies · Friendly InternationalEstadi de la FAF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Andorra65%
×Draw23%
Liechtenstein13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Andorra
1.74
Liechtenstein
0.61

Andorra creates 185% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 12 away

creates per match

Andorra
0.90
Liechtenstein
0.42

allows per match

Andorra
0.80
Liechtenstein
2.58

finishing

Andorra+0.00on par
Liechtenstein+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Andorra ↓

Liechtenstein →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–110%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Andorra or draw
87%
Andorra or Liechtenstein
77%
Draw or Liechtenstein
35%

Winning margin

Andorra wins by 2+
38%
Liechtenstein wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Andorra 1+ goals
82%
Andorra 2+ goals
52%
Andorra 3+ goals
25%
Liechtenstein 1+ goals
46%
Liechtenstein 2+ goals
13%
Liechtenstein 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Andorra (draw refunded)
84%
Liechtenstein (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Andorra at home — creates 0.90, concedes 0.80 · 10 matches

Liechtenstein away — creates 0.42, concedes 2.58 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Andorra attack 0.90 + Liechtenstein defence 2.58 → ÷2 → 1.74

Liechtenstein attack 0.42 + Andorra defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Andorra scores more
65%
level
23%
Liechtenstein scores more
13%

Andorra at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Andorra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44'
Marc Pujol
56'
K. Pomares← M. San Nicolas
56'
Cucu← G. Lopez
56'
A. Martinez← P. Babot
56'
O. Remolins← M. Pujol
60'
K. Kindle← F. Saglam
60'
P. Gassner← F. Luque-Notaro
68'
Ian Bryan Olivera
71'
Jordi Alaez← H. Ferreira Silva
71'
J. Rubio← B. Borra Font
73'
A. Martinez↳ A. Rodrigo Tapia
77'
J. Hasler← M. Buchel
77'
L. Kranz← J. Hofer
80'
Jordi AlaezPenalty
83'
M. Vales← E. Izquierdo
83'
J. Guillen← I. Oliveira
83'
G. Sola← A. Rodrigo Tapia
87'
Alessio Hasler
89'
F. Oberwaditzer← M. Goppel
89'
J. Weissenhofer← L. Meier
89'
N. Beck← E. Zund
89'
B. Poitner← L. Traber

Shots

9Andorra

Statistics

AndorraLiechtenstein
Overview
9Total Shots0
6Corners2
11Fouls11
Shots
9Total Shots0
3On Target0
5Off Target0
1Blocked0
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
Discipline
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Offsides0

Match Recap: Andorra vs Liechtenstein

Andorra beat Liechtenstein 2-0 in Friendlies on June 4, 2026.

Goals: A. Martinez (73'), Jordi Alaez (80' pen).

The match was played at Estadi de la FAF in Encamp.