Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Always Ready vs Oriente Petrolero — Primera División 2026

Always Ready
Always Ready
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
4/22/2026Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Apertura - 3Estadio Municipal de El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 128+ matches

Always Ready66%
×Draw19%
Oriente Petrolero15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Always Ready
2.31
Oriente Petrolero
1.02

Always Ready creates 126% more chances

Season form · 129 home / 128 away

creates per match

Always Ready
2.58
Oriente Petrolero
1.16

allows per match

Always Ready
0.89
Oriente Petrolero
2.05

finishing

Always Ready+0.00on par
Oriente Petrolero+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Always Ready ↓

Oriente Petrolero →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Always Ready or draw
85%
Always Ready or Oriente Petrolero
81%
Draw or Oriente Petrolero
34%

Winning margin

Always Ready wins by 2+
43%
Oriente Petrolero wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Always Ready 1+ goals
90%
Always Ready 2+ goals
67%
Always Ready 3+ goals
40%
Oriente Petrolero 1+ goals
64%
Oriente Petrolero 2+ goals
27%
Oriente Petrolero 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Always Ready (draw refunded)
81%
Oriente Petrolero (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Always Ready at home — creates 2.58, concedes 0.89 · 129 matches

Oriente Petrolero away — creates 1.16, concedes 2.05 · 128 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Always Ready attack 2.58 + Oriente Petrolero defence 2.05 → ÷2 → 2.31

Oriente Petrolero attack 1.16 + Always Ready defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Always Ready scores more
66%
level
19%
Oriente Petrolero scores more
15%

Always Ready at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Always Ready will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Always Ready vs Oriente Petrolero

Always Ready beat Oriente Petrolero 1-0 in Primera División on April 22, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal de El Alto in El Alto.