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Al Rabta Kosti vs Haidob En Nahud — Sudani Premier League 2025

Al Rabta Kosti
Al Rabta Kosti
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Haidob En Nahud
Haidob En Nahud
1/10/2025Sudani Premier LeagueSudani Premier League · Round 1Kosti Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Al Rabta Kosti33%
×Draw33%
Haidob En Nahud34%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al Rabta Kosti
0.89
Haidob En Nahud
0.92

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 13 home / 12 away

creates per match

Al Rabta Kosti
0.85
Haidob En Nahud
0.92

allows per match

Al Rabta Kosti
0.92
Haidob En Nahud
0.92

finishing

Al Rabta Kosti+0.00on par
Haidob En Nahud+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Rabta Kosti ↓

Haidob En Nahud →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–115%
0–27%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Al Rabta Kosti or draw
66%
Al Rabta Kosti or Haidob En Nahud
67%
Draw or Haidob En Nahud
67%

Winning margin

Al Rabta Kosti wins by 2+
11%
Haidob En Nahud wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Al Rabta Kosti 1+ goals
59%
Al Rabta Kosti 2+ goals
22%
Al Rabta Kosti 3+ goals
6%
Haidob En Nahud 1+ goals
60%
Haidob En Nahud 2+ goals
23%
Haidob En Nahud 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Al Rabta Kosti (draw refunded)
49%
Haidob En Nahud (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Rabta Kosti at home — creates 0.85, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

Haidob En Nahud away — creates 0.92, concedes 0.92 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Rabta Kosti attack 0.85 + Haidob En Nahud defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.89

Haidob En Nahud attack 0.92 + Al Rabta Kosti defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 34%?"

Al Rabta Kosti scores more
33%
level
33%
Haidob En Nahud scores more
34%

Haidob En Nahud at 34% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 34% does not mean "Haidob En Nahud will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Al Rabta Kosti vs Haidob En Nahud

Al Rabta Kosti and Haidob En Nahud drew 0-0 in Sudani Premier League on January 10, 2025.

The match was played at Kosti Stadium in Kosti.