AL Masry 0–0 National Bank of Egypt: Result & Stats

AL Masry

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

National Bank of Egypt

2/12/2025

Premier League · Round 13New Suez Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 97+ matches

AL Masry38%

×Draw28%

National Bank of Egypt34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AL MasryExpected goals in this matchNational Bank of Egypt

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.11

AL Masry

1.19

National Bank of Egypt

1.11

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 128 home / 97 away

1.20

creates per match

1.14

1.08

allows per match

1.19

creates per match

AL Masry

1.20

National Bank of Egypt

1.14

allows per match

AL Masry

1.08

National Bank of Egypt

1.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

AL Masry+0.00on par

National Bank of Egypt+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AL Masry ↓

National Bank of Egypt →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

AL Masry or draw

66%

AL Masry or National Bank of Egypt

72%

Draw or National Bank of Egypt

62%

Winning margin

AL Masry wins by 2+

16%

National Bank of Egypt wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

AL Masry 1+ goals

70%

AL Masry 2+ goals

33%

AL Masry 3+ goals

12%

National Bank of Egypt 1+ goals

67%

National Bank of Egypt 2+ goals

30%

National Bank of Egypt 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

AL Masry (draw refunded)

53%

National Bank of Egypt (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AL Masry at home — creates 1.20, concedes 1.08 · 128 matches

National Bank of Egypt away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.19 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AL Masry attack 1.20 + National Bank of Egypt defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.19

National Bank of Egypt attack 1.14 + AL Masry defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

AL Masry scores more

38%

level

28%

National Bank of Egypt scores more

34%

AL Masry at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "AL Masry will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: AL Masry vs National Bank of Egypt

AL Masry and National Bank of Egypt drew 0-0 in Premier League on February 12, 2025.

The match was played at New Suez Stadium in Suez.

AL Masry vs National Bank of Egypt — Premier League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: AL Masry vs National Bank of Egypt