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Al-Faisaly FC vs Jeddah Club — Division 1 2018

Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Faisaly FC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Jeddah Club
Jeddah Club
12/26/2025Division 1Division 1 · Round 13King Salman Sport City Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Al-Faisaly FC43%
×Draw26%
Jeddah Club31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al-Faisaly FC
1.46
Jeddah Club
1.20

Al-Faisaly FC creates 22% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 127 away

creates per match

Al-Faisaly FC
1.54
Jeddah Club
1.19

allows per match

Al-Faisaly FC
1.21
Jeddah Club
1.37

finishing

Al-Faisaly FC+0.00on par
Jeddah Club+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al-Faisaly FC ↓

Jeddah Club →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Al-Faisaly FC or draw
69%
Al-Faisaly FC or Jeddah Club
74%
Draw or Jeddah Club
57%

Winning margin

Al-Faisaly FC wins by 2+
21%
Jeddah Club wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Al-Faisaly FC 1+ goals
77%
Al-Faisaly FC 2+ goals
43%
Al-Faisaly FC 3+ goals
18%
Jeddah Club 1+ goals
70%
Jeddah Club 2+ goals
34%
Jeddah Club 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Al-Faisaly FC (draw refunded)
58%
Jeddah Club (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al-Faisaly FC at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.21 · 68 matches

Jeddah Club away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.37 · 127 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al-Faisaly FC attack 1.54 + Jeddah Club defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.46

Jeddah Club attack 1.19 + Al-Faisaly FC defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Al-Faisaly FC scores more
43%
level
26%
Jeddah Club scores more
31%

Al-Faisaly FC at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Al-Faisaly FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division 1: Al-Faisaly FC 0–0 Jeddah Club

Al-Faisaly FC and Jeddah Club drew 0-0 in Division 1 on December 26, 2025.

The match was played at King Salman Sport City Stadium in Harmah.