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Admira Praha vs Sokol Hostouň — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Admira Praha
Admira Praha
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sokol Hostouň
Sokol Hostouň
3/15/20263. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 19Stadium Admira Prague

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 87+ matches

Admira Praha46%
×Draw25%
Sokol Hostouň29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Admira Praha
1.56
Sokol Hostouň
1.17

Admira Praha creates 33% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 87 away

creates per match

Admira Praha
1.31
Sokol Hostouň
1.03

allows per match

Admira Praha
1.30
Sokol Hostouň
1.82

finishing

Admira Praha+0.00on par
Sokol Hostouň+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Admira Praha ↓

Sokol Hostouň →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Admira Praha or draw
71%
Admira Praha or Sokol Hostouň
75%
Draw or Sokol Hostouň
54%

Winning margin

Admira Praha wins by 2+
24%
Sokol Hostouň wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Admira Praha 1+ goals
79%
Admira Praha 2+ goals
46%
Admira Praha 3+ goals
21%
Sokol Hostouň 1+ goals
69%
Sokol Hostouň 2+ goals
33%
Sokol Hostouň 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Admira Praha (draw refunded)
62%
Sokol Hostouň (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Admira Praha at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.30 · 87 matches

Sokol Hostouň away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.82 · 87 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Admira Praha attack 1.31 + Sokol Hostouň defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.56

Sokol Hostouň attack 1.03 + Admira Praha defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Admira Praha scores more
46%
level
25%
Sokol Hostouň scores more
29%

Admira Praha at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Admira Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - CFL A: Admira Praha 0–0 Sokol Hostouň

Admira Praha and Sokol Hostouň drew 0-0 in 3. liga - CFL A on March 15, 2026.

The match was played at Stadium Admira Prague.