Admira Dornbirn 9–2 Rot-Weiß Rankweil

Admira Dornbirn

FT

9 – 2

HT: 3 – 0

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

5/3/2025

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga · Vorarlberg - 20Sportplatz Admira Dornbirn

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Admira Dornbirn66%

×Draw16%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Admira DornbirnExpected goals in this matchRot-Weiß Rankweil

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.17

1.68

Admira Dornbirn

3.17

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

1.68

Admira Dornbirn creates 89% more chances

Season form · 54 home / 13 away

3.11

creates per match

1.62

1.74

allows per match

3.23

creates per match

Admira Dornbirn

3.11

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

1.62

allows per match

Admira Dornbirn

1.74

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

3.23

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Admira Dornbirn+0.00on par

Rot-Weiß Rankweil+0.00on par

Total goals

Over86
Under14

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes78
No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Admira Dornbirn ↓

Rot-Weiß Rankweil →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–03%

1–14%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–16%

4–25%

4–33%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

86%14%3.5

70%30%4.5

51%49%

Double chance

Admira Dornbirn or draw

82%

Admira Dornbirn or Rot-Weiß Rankweil

84%

Draw or Rot-Weiß Rankweil

34%

Winning margin

Admira Dornbirn wins by 2+

47%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Admira Dornbirn 1+ goals

96%

Admira Dornbirn 2+ goals

82%

Admira Dornbirn 3+ goals

60%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil 1+ goals

81%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil 2+ goals

50%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Admira Dornbirn (draw refunded)

78%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

73%

Both score & under 3

4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Admira Dornbirn at home — creates 3.11, concedes 1.74 · 54 matches

Rot-Weiß Rankweil away — creates 1.62, concedes 3.23 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Admira Dornbirn attack 3.11 + Rot-Weiß Rankweil defence 3.23 → ÷2 → 3.17

Rot-Weiß Rankweil attack 1.62 + Admira Dornbirn defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Admira Dornbirn scores more

66%

level

16%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil scores more

18%

Admira Dornbirn at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Admira Dornbirn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga: Admira Dornbirn 9–2 Rot-Weiß Rankweil

Admira Dornbirn beat Rot-Weiß Rankweil 9-2 in Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga on May 3, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz Admira Dornbirn in Dornbirn.

Admira Dornbirn vs Rot-Weiß Rankweil — Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga: Admira Dornbirn 9–2 Rot-Weiß Rankweil