Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Playford City Patriots — South Australia State League 1 2026

Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eaglesadvanced
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Playford City Patriots
Playford City Patriots
8/24/2024South Australia State League 1South Australia State League 1 · Semi-finalsMarden Sports Complex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Adelaide Blue Eagles44%
×Draw22%
Playford City Patriots33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Adelaide Blue Eagles
1.84
Playford City Patriots
1.57

Adelaide Blue Eagles creates 17% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 46 away

creates per match

Adelaide Blue Eagles
2.20
Playford City Patriots
1.87

allows per match

Adelaide Blue Eagles
1.27
Playford City Patriots
1.48

finishing

Adelaide Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Playford City Patriots+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Adelaide Blue Eagles ↓

Playford City Patriots →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Adelaide Blue Eagles or draw
67%
Adelaide Blue Eagles or Playford City Patriots
78%
Draw or Playford City Patriots
56%

Winning margin

Adelaide Blue Eagles wins by 2+
24%
Playford City Patriots wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Adelaide Blue Eagles 1+ goals
84%
Adelaide Blue Eagles 2+ goals
55%
Adelaide Blue Eagles 3+ goals
28%
Playford City Patriots 1+ goals
79%
Playford City Patriots 2+ goals
46%
Playford City Patriots 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Adelaide Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
57%
Playford City Patriots (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Adelaide Blue Eagles at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.27 · 56 matches

Playford City Patriots away — creates 1.87, concedes 1.48 · 46 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Adelaide Blue Eagles attack 2.20 + Playford City Patriots defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.84

Playford City Patriots attack 1.87 + Adelaide Blue Eagles defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Adelaide Blue Eagles scores more
44%
level
22%
Playford City Patriots scores more
33%

Adelaide Blue Eagles at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Adelaide Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

South Australia State League 1: Adelaide Blue Eagles 1–0 Playford City Patriots

Adelaide Blue Eagles beat Playford City Patriots 1-0 in South Australia State League 1 on August 24, 2024.

The match was played at Marden Sports Complex in Adelaide.