ABB 0–0 Jorge Wilstermann: Result & Stats

ABB

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Jorge Wilstermann

9/14/2025

Primera División · Apertura - 19Estadio Municipal de El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

ABB39%

×Draw25%

Jorge Wilstermann36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ABBExpected goals in this matchJorge Wilstermann

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

1.38

ABB

1.45

Jorge Wilstermann

1.38

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 20 home / 121 away

1.40

creates per match

1.15

1.60

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

ABB

1.40

Jorge Wilstermann

1.15

allows per match

ABB

1.60

Jorge Wilstermann

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

ABB+0.00on par

Jorge Wilstermann+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ABB ↓

Jorge Wilstermann →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

ABB or draw

64%

ABB or Jorge Wilstermann

75%

Draw or Jorge Wilstermann

61%

Winning margin

ABB wins by 2+

18%

Jorge Wilstermann wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

ABB 1+ goals

77%

ABB 2+ goals

42%

ABB 3+ goals

18%

Jorge Wilstermann 1+ goals

75%

Jorge Wilstermann 2+ goals

40%

Jorge Wilstermann 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

ABB (draw refunded)

52%

Jorge Wilstermann (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ABB at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.60 · 20 matches

Jorge Wilstermann away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.50 · 121 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ABB attack 1.40 + Jorge Wilstermann defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.45

Jorge Wilstermann attack 1.15 + ABB defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

ABB scores more

39%

level

25%

Jorge Wilstermann scores more

36%

ABB at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "ABB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'

R. Corrales

22'

C. Chavez

30'

G. Rea Mendieta

46'

A. Barron← I. Rocabado

53'

56'

56'

56'

57'

60'

L. Rodriguez← C. Chavez

66'

66'

68'

70'

73'

74'

R. E. Rocabado Concha← G. Rea Mendieta

90+5'

F. Rodriguez← A. Caceres

ABB

Jorge

1

27

26

6

5

25

15

10

▼

Chavez

7

▼

Caceres

38

▼

3

23

2

16

29

▼

Galindo

4

Monteiro

80

Loza

33

▼

Zamora

25

Galindo

11

▼

Arroyo

51

Terrazas

17

▼

Mendieta

Manager: Facundo Biondi

66'▲J. Vedia←▼F. Zamora

66'▲J. Rivas←▼S. Galindo

73'▲M. Flores←▼A. Arroyo

74'▲R. E. Rocabado Concha←▼G. Rea Mendieta

ABB substitutes

34Gutierrez14Jemio42Ardaya30Bejarano13Orihuela27Concha36Siles10Vedia18Flores77Rivas45Salazar

Manager: Cristian Chavez

46'▲A. Barron←▼I. Rocabado

60'▲L. Rodriguez←▼C. Chavez

90+5'▲F. Rodriguez←▼A. Caceres

Jorge Wilstermann substitutes

33Zotes31Delgadillo17Rodriguez16Rodriguez4Rodriguez14Pardo29Adrian34Ancieta18Barron