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ABB vs Always Ready — Primera División 2026

ABB
ABB
FT
0 – 7
HT: 0 – 3
Always Ready
Always Ready
H. Bobadilla 90', 75', 73' (pen)
E. Triverio 54'
M. Paniagua 45'
F. Saucedo 30'
J. S. Mercado Galvez 20'
11/29/2025Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Apertura - 26Estadio Municipal de El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

ABB36%
×Draw24%
Always Ready40%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ABB
1.45
Always Ready
1.55

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 20 home / 127 away

creates per match

ABB
1.40
Always Ready
1.50

allows per match

ABB
1.60
Always Ready
1.50

finishing

ABB+0.00on par
Always Ready+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ABB ↓

Always Ready →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

ABB or draw
60%
ABB or Always Ready
76%
Draw or Always Ready
64%

Winning margin

ABB wins by 2+
17%
Always Ready wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

ABB 1+ goals
77%
ABB 2+ goals
42%
ABB 3+ goals
18%
Always Ready 1+ goals
79%
Always Ready 2+ goals
46%
Always Ready 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

ABB (draw refunded)
47%
Always Ready (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ABB at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.60 · 20 matches

Always Ready away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.50 · 127 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ABB attack 1.40 + Always Ready defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.45

Always Ready attack 1.50 + ABB defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

ABB scores more
36%
level
24%
Always Ready scores more
40%

Always Ready at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Always Ready will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
H. BobadillaAlways ReadyAlways Ready · M
9.9

Match Events

8'
Carlitos Rodriguez
20'
J. S. Mercado Galvez↳ F. Saucedo
30'
F. Saucedo↳ M. Paniagua
45'
M. Paniagua↳ H. Bobadilla
54'
E. Triverio
63'
C. Jemio← J. Riascos
63'
R. Terrazas← A. Bharti
63'
S. Galindo← E. Condori
64'
A. Rambal← T. Andrade
64'
J. Maraude← M. Paniagua
70'
Jhon Mena
73'
H. BobadillaPenalty
75'
H. Bobadilla↳ J. Maraude
79'
J. Vedia← P. Loza
80'
A. Cervantes← J. Rivas
80'
S. Mamani← D. Torrico
80'
R. Ferrufino← E. Triverio
84'
E. Paniagua← J. S. Mercado Galvez
90'
H. Bobadilla↳ F. Saucedo

Possession

37%ABB

Shots

17ABB

Pass accuracy

47%ABB

Statistics

ABBAlways
Overview
37%Possession63%
17Total Shots22
1.05Expected Goals (xG)2.65
3Corners5
11Fouls6
Shots
17Total Shots22
3On Target11
6Off Target10
8Blocked1
8Inside Box13
9Outside Box9
Passing
37%Possession63%
246Total Passes419
196Accurate Passes372
80%Pass Accuracy89%
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
Discipline
11Fouls6
1Yellow Cards1

Match Recap: ABB vs Always Ready

Always Ready beat ABB 7-0 in Primera División on November 29, 2025.

Goals: J. S. Mercado Galvez (20'), F. Saucedo (30'), M. Paniagua (45'), E. Triverio (54'), H. Bobadilla (73' pen, 75', 90').

Always Ready controlled possession (63%) and registered 22 shots to 17.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal de El Alto in El Alto.