Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

1. SC Feucht vs Würzburger FV — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

1. SC Feucht
1. SC Feucht
FT
2 – 4
HT: 1 – 1
Würzburger FV
Würzburger FV
10/6/2023Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 16Waldstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

1. SC Feucht30%
×Draw22%
Würzburger FV48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1. SC Feucht
1.57
Würzburger FV
2.02

Würzburger FV creates 29% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 69 away

creates per match

1. SC Feucht
1.17
Würzburger FV
1.32

allows per match

1. SC Feucht
2.71
Würzburger FV
1.97

finishing

1. SC Feucht+0.00on par
Würzburger FV+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1. SC Feucht ↓

Würzburger FV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

1. SC Feucht or draw
52%
1. SC Feucht or Würzburger FV
78%
Draw or Würzburger FV
70%

Winning margin

1. SC Feucht wins by 2+
14%
Würzburger FV wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

1. SC Feucht 1+ goals
79%
1. SC Feucht 2+ goals
46%
1. SC Feucht 3+ goals
21%
Würzburger FV 1+ goals
87%
Würzburger FV 2+ goals
60%
Würzburger FV 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

1. SC Feucht (draw refunded)
39%
Würzburger FV (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1. SC Feucht at home — creates 1.17, concedes 2.71 · 35 matches

Würzburger FV away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.97 · 69 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1. SC Feucht attack 1.17 + Würzburger FV defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.57

Würzburger FV attack 1.32 + 1. SC Feucht defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

1. SC Feucht scores more
30%
level
22%
Würzburger FV scores more
48%

Würzburger FV at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Würzburger FV will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Bayern Nord: 1. SC Feucht 2–4 Würzburger FV

Würzburger FV beat 1. SC Feucht 4-2 in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on October 6, 2023.

The match was played at Waldstadion in Feucht.