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Zulte Waregem vs Cercle Brugge — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
FT
2 – 2
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
7/4/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Regenboogstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Zulte Waregem53%
×Draw20%
Cercle Brugge27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zulte Waregem
2.30
Cercle Brugge
1.61

Zulte Waregem creates 43% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 10 away

creates per match

Zulte Waregem
2.50
Cercle Brugge
1.40

allows per match

Zulte Waregem
1.83
Cercle Brugge
2.10

finishing

Zulte Waregem+0.00on par
Cercle Brugge+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zulte Waregem ↓

Cercle Brugge →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
54%46%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Zulte Waregem or draw
73%
Zulte Waregem or Cercle Brugge
80%
Draw or Cercle Brugge
47%

Winning margin

Zulte Waregem wins by 2+
32%
Cercle Brugge wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Zulte Waregem 1+ goals
90%
Zulte Waregem 2+ goals
67%
Zulte Waregem 3+ goals
40%
Cercle Brugge 1+ goals
80%
Cercle Brugge 2+ goals
48%
Cercle Brugge 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Zulte Waregem (draw refunded)
66%
Cercle Brugge (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zulte Waregem at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.83 · 12 matches

Cercle Brugge away — creates 1.40, concedes 2.10 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zulte Waregem attack 2.50 + Cercle Brugge defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.30

Cercle Brugge attack 1.40 + Zulte Waregem defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Zulte Waregem scores more
53%
level
20%
Cercle Brugge scores more
27%

Zulte Waregem at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Zulte Waregem will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Zulte Waregem vs Cercle Brugge

Zulte Waregem and Cercle Brugge drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 4, 2020.

The match was played at Regenboogstadion in Waregem.