Zorya Luhansk 0–0 Andijan: Result & Stats

Zorya Luhansk

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Andijan

2/5/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Zorya Luhansk40%

×Draw28%

Andijan32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Zorya LuhanskExpected goals in this matchAndijan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.11

Zorya Luhansk

1.27

Andijan

1.11

Zorya Luhansk creates 14% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 4 away

1.53

creates per match

0.75

1.47

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Zorya Luhansk

1.53

Andijan

0.75

allows per match

Zorya Luhansk

1.47

Andijan

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Zorya Luhansk+0.00on par

Andijan+0.00on par

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zorya Luhansk ↓

Andijan →

0–09%

0–110%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

42%58%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Zorya Luhansk or draw

68%

Zorya Luhansk or Andijan

72%

Draw or Andijan

60%

Winning margin

Zorya Luhansk wins by 2+

18%

Andijan wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Zorya Luhansk 1+ goals

72%

Zorya Luhansk 2+ goals

36%

Zorya Luhansk 3+ goals

14%

Andijan 1+ goals

67%

Andijan 2+ goals

30%

Andijan 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Zorya Luhansk (draw refunded)

55%

Andijan (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Zorya Luhansk at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.47 · 15 matches

Andijan away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Zorya Luhansk attack 1.53 + Andijan defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.27

Andijan attack 0.75 + Zorya Luhansk defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 40%?"

Zorya Luhansk scores more

40%

level

28%

Andijan scores more

32%

Zorya Luhansk at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Zorya Luhansk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff