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Znojmo vs Viktorie Přerov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Znojmo
Znojmo
FT
3 – 2
Viktorie Přerov
Viktorie Přerov
6/23/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Znojmo58%
×Draw17%
Viktorie Přerov25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Znojmo
3.00
Viktorie Přerov
1.97

Znojmo creates 52% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Znojmo
2.00
Viktorie Přerov
1.33

allows per match

Znojmo
2.60
Viktorie Přerov
4.00

finishing

Znojmo+0.00on par
Viktorie Přerov+0.00on par

Total goals

87%Over
  • Over87
  • Under13

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

82%Yes
  • Yes82
  • No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Znojmo ↓

Viktorie Přerov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–14%
1–24%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–15%
4–25%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–1 (6%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
87%13%3.5
72%28%4.5
54%46%

Double chance

Znojmo or draw
75%
Znojmo or Viktorie Přerov
83%
Draw or Viktorie Přerov
42%

Winning margin

Znojmo wins by 2+
39%
Viktorie Přerov wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Znojmo 1+ goals
95%
Znojmo 2+ goals
79%
Znojmo 3+ goals
56%
Viktorie Přerov 1+ goals
86%
Viktorie Přerov 2+ goals
58%
Viktorie Přerov 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Znojmo (draw refunded)
70%
Viktorie Přerov (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
77%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Znojmo at home — creates 2.00, concedes 2.60 · 5 matches

Viktorie Přerov away — creates 1.33, concedes 4.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Znojmo attack 2.00 + Viktorie Přerov defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.00

Viktorie Přerov attack 1.33 + Znojmo defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 1.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Znojmo scores more
58%
level
17%
Viktorie Přerov scores more
25%

Znojmo at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Znojmo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Znojmo vs Viktorie Přerov

Znojmo beat Viktorie Přerov 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on June 23, 2021.