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Znicz Pruszków vs ŁKS Łódź II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
ŁKS Łódź II
ŁKS Łódź II
2/8/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Znicz Pruszków52%
×Draw23%
ŁKS Łódź II25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Znicz Pruszków
1.80
ŁKS Łódź II
1.16

Znicz Pruszków creates 55% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 7 away

creates per match

Znicz Pruszków
1.90
ŁKS Łódź II
0.71

allows per match

Znicz Pruszków
1.60
ŁKS Łódź II
1.71

finishing

Znicz Pruszków+0.00on par
ŁKS Łódź II+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Znicz Pruszków ↓

ŁKS Łódź II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Znicz Pruszków or draw
75%
Znicz Pruszków or ŁKS Łódź II
77%
Draw or ŁKS Łódź II
48%

Winning margin

Znicz Pruszków wins by 2+
29%
ŁKS Łódź II wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Znicz Pruszków 1+ goals
83%
Znicz Pruszków 2+ goals
54%
Znicz Pruszków 3+ goals
27%
ŁKS Łódź II 1+ goals
69%
ŁKS Łódź II 2+ goals
32%
ŁKS Łódź II 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Znicz Pruszków (draw refunded)
68%
ŁKS Łódź II (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Znicz Pruszków at home — creates 1.90, concedes 1.60 · 10 matches

ŁKS Łódź II away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Znicz Pruszków attack 1.90 + ŁKS Łódź II defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.80

ŁKS Łódź II attack 0.71 + Znicz Pruszków defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Znicz Pruszków scores more
52%
level
23%
ŁKS Łódź II scores more
25%

Znicz Pruszków at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Znicz Pruszków will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Znicz Pruszków 0–0 ŁKS Łódź II

Znicz Pruszków and ŁKS Łódź II drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 8, 2025.

The match was played at TBC in TBC.