Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Žilina vs Považská Bystrica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Žilina
Žilina
FT
7 – 0
HT: 4 – 0
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
1/17/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Štadión Pod Dubňom

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Žilina63%
×Draw18%
Považská Bystrica20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Žilina
2.70
Považská Bystrica
1.47

Žilina creates 84% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 11 away

creates per match

Žilina
3.22
Považská Bystrica
1.27

allows per match

Žilina
1.67
Považská Bystrica
2.18

finishing

Žilina+0.00on par
Považská Bystrica+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Žilina ↓

Považská Bystrica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Žilina or draw
80%
Žilina or Považská Bystrica
82%
Draw or Považská Bystrica
37%

Winning margin

Žilina wins by 2+
42%
Považská Bystrica wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Žilina 1+ goals
93%
Žilina 2+ goals
75%
Žilina 3+ goals
50%
Považská Bystrica 1+ goals
77%
Považská Bystrica 2+ goals
43%
Považská Bystrica 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Žilina (draw refunded)
76%
Považská Bystrica (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Žilina at home — creates 3.22, concedes 1.67 · 9 matches

Považská Bystrica away — creates 1.27, concedes 2.18 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Žilina attack 3.22 + Považská Bystrica defence 2.18 → ÷2 → 2.70

Považská Bystrica attack 1.27 + Žilina defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Žilina scores more
63%
level
18%
Považská Bystrica scores more
20%

Žilina at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Žilina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Žilina 7–0 Považská Bystrica

Žilina beat Považská Bystrica 7-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2024.

The match was played at Štadión Pod Dubňom in Žilina.