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Zemplín Michalovce vs Slavoj Trebišov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zemplín Michalovce
Zemplín Michalovce
FT
4 – 1
Slavoj Trebišov
Slavoj Trebišov
7/7/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Futbalový štadión MFK Zemplín

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Zemplín Michalovce83%
×Draw11%
Slavoj Trebišov6%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zemplín Michalovce
3.35
Slavoj Trebišov
0.88

Zemplín Michalovce creates 281% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 4 away

creates per match

Zemplín Michalovce
3.20
Slavoj Trebišov
0.75

allows per match

Zemplín Michalovce
1.00
Slavoj Trebišov
3.50

finishing

Zemplín Michalovce+0.00on par
Slavoj Trebišov+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zemplín Michalovce ↓

Slavoj Trebišov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–15%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (10%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

Zemplín Michalovce or draw
94%
Zemplín Michalovce or Slavoj Trebišov
89%
Draw or Slavoj Trebišov
17%

Winning margin

Zemplín Michalovce wins by 2+
65%
Slavoj Trebišov wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Zemplín Michalovce 1+ goals
96%
Zemplín Michalovce 2+ goals
84%
Zemplín Michalovce 3+ goals
63%
Slavoj Trebišov 1+ goals
59%
Slavoj Trebišov 2+ goals
22%
Slavoj Trebišov 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Zemplín Michalovce (draw refunded)
93%
Slavoj Trebišov (draw refunded)
7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zemplín Michalovce at home — creates 3.20, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

Slavoj Trebišov away — creates 0.75, concedes 3.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zemplín Michalovce attack 3.20 + Slavoj Trebišov defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 3.35

Slavoj Trebišov attack 0.75 + Zemplín Michalovce defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 83%?"

Zemplín Michalovce scores more
83%
level
11%
Slavoj Trebišov scores more
6%

Zemplín Michalovce at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 83% does not mean "Zemplín Michalovce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Zemplín Michalovce 4 – 1 Slavoj Trebišov

Zemplín Michalovce beat Slavoj Trebišov 4-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 7, 2021.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión MFK Zemplín in Michalovce.