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Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
FT
2 – 3
Artis
Artis
8/12/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Zbrojovka Brno51%
×Draw21%
Artis28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zbrojovka Brno
2.11
Artis
1.52

Zbrojovka Brno creates 39% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 20 away

creates per match

Zbrojovka Brno
2.47
Artis
1.70

allows per match

Zbrojovka Brno
1.33
Artis
1.75

finishing

Zbrojovka Brno+0.00on par
Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zbrojovka Brno ↓

Artis →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Zbrojovka Brno or draw
72%
Zbrojovka Brno or Artis
79%
Draw or Artis
49%

Winning margin

Zbrojovka Brno wins by 2+
30%
Artis wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Zbrojovka Brno 1+ goals
88%
Zbrojovka Brno 2+ goals
62%
Zbrojovka Brno 3+ goals
35%
Artis 1+ goals
78%
Artis 2+ goals
45%
Artis 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Zbrojovka Brno (draw refunded)
65%
Artis (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zbrojovka Brno at home — creates 2.47, concedes 1.33 · 15 matches

Artis away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.75 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zbrojovka Brno attack 2.47 + Artis defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.11

Artis attack 1.70 + Zbrojovka Brno defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Zbrojovka Brno scores more
51%
level
21%
Artis scores more
28%

Zbrojovka Brno at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Zbrojovka Brno will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis

Artis beat Zbrojovka Brno 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on August 12, 2020.

The match was played at Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská in Brno.