Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Zamora vs Cultural Leonesa — Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2019

Zamora
Zamora
Preview
16:00
Cultural Leonesa
Cultural Leonesa
2/28/2027Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 26Estadio Ruta de la Plata
Big match
41%
Zamora
model favours
41%28%31%

Both teams score in only 20% of Zamora’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
under 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Zamora41%
×Draw28%
Cultural Leonesa31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zamora
1.25
Cultural Leonesa
1.04

Zamora creates 20% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 88 away

creates per match

Zamora
1.18
Cultural Leonesa
1.16

allows per match

Zamora
0.93
Cultural Leonesa
1.31

finishing

Zamora+0.00on par
Cultural Leonesa+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zamora ↓

Cultural Leonesa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–111%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Zamora or draw
69%
Zamora or Cultural Leonesa
72%
Draw or Cultural Leonesa
59%

Winning margin

Zamora wins by 2+
18%
Cultural Leonesa wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Zamora 1+ goals
71%
Zamora 2+ goals
36%
Zamora 3+ goals
13%
Cultural Leonesa 1+ goals
65%
Cultural Leonesa 2+ goals
28%
Cultural Leonesa 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Zamora (draw refunded)
57%
Cultural Leonesa (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zamora at home — creates 1.18, concedes 0.93 · 68 matches

Cultural Leonesa away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.31 · 88 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zamora attack 1.18 + Cultural Leonesa defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.25

Cultural Leonesa attack 1.16 + Zamora defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Zamora scores more
41%
level
28%
Cultural Leonesa scores more
31%

Zamora at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Zamora will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 70% of Zamora’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Zamora
LWWLL
Leonesa
DLWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Zamora host Cultural Leonesa

February 28, 2027: Zamora take on Cultural Leonesa in Primera División RFEF - Group 1. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Zamora host Cultural Leonesa at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.