Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Fehérvár FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE
FT
0 – 1
Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC
5/16/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3ZTE-Aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Zalaegerszegi TE50%
×Draw24%
Fehérvár FC26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zalaegerszegi TE
1.75
Fehérvár FC
1.19

Zalaegerszegi TE creates 47% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 12 away

creates per match

Zalaegerszegi TE
2.25
Fehérvár FC
1.25

allows per match

Zalaegerszegi TE
1.13
Fehérvár FC
1.25

finishing

Zalaegerszegi TE+0.00on par
Fehérvár FC+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zalaegerszegi TE ↓

Fehérvár FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Zalaegerszegi TE or draw
74%
Zalaegerszegi TE or Fehérvár FC
76%
Draw or Fehérvár FC
50%

Winning margin

Zalaegerszegi TE wins by 2+
27%
Fehérvár FC wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Zalaegerszegi TE 1+ goals
83%
Zalaegerszegi TE 2+ goals
52%
Zalaegerszegi TE 3+ goals
25%
Fehérvár FC 1+ goals
70%
Fehérvár FC 2+ goals
33%
Fehérvár FC 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Zalaegerszegi TE (draw refunded)
66%
Fehérvár FC (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zalaegerszegi TE at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.13 · 8 matches

Fehérvár FC away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.25 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zalaegerszegi TE attack 2.25 + Fehérvár FC defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.75

Fehérvár FC attack 1.25 + Zalaegerszegi TE defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Zalaegerszegi TE scores more
50%
level
24%
Fehérvár FC scores more
26%

Zalaegerszegi TE at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Zalaegerszegi TE will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC beat Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on May 16, 2020.

The match was played at ZTE-Aréna in Zalaegerszeg.