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Zalaegerszegi TE vs Artis — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE
FT
4 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Artis
Artis
1/15/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Gyirmót SE Sporttelep 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Zalaegerszegi TE52%
×Draw22%
Artis26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zalaegerszegi TE
1.98
Artis
1.34

Zalaegerszegi TE creates 48% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 18 away

creates per match

Zalaegerszegi TE
2.25
Artis
1.56

allows per match

Zalaegerszegi TE
1.13
Artis
1.72

finishing

Zalaegerszegi TE+0.00on par
Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zalaegerszegi TE ↓

Artis →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Zalaegerszegi TE or draw
74%
Zalaegerszegi TE or Artis
78%
Draw or Artis
48%

Winning margin

Zalaegerszegi TE wins by 2+
30%
Artis wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Zalaegerszegi TE 1+ goals
86%
Zalaegerszegi TE 2+ goals
59%
Zalaegerszegi TE 3+ goals
31%
Artis 1+ goals
74%
Artis 2+ goals
39%
Artis 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Zalaegerszegi TE (draw refunded)
67%
Artis (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zalaegerszegi TE at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.13 · 8 matches

Artis away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.72 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zalaegerszegi TE attack 2.25 + Artis defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.98

Artis attack 1.56 + Zalaegerszegi TE defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Zalaegerszegi TE scores more
52%
level
22%
Artis scores more
26%

Zalaegerszegi TE at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Zalaegerszegi TE will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Artis

Zalaegerszegi TE beat Artis 4-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 15, 2025.

The match was played at Gyirmót SE Sporttelep 7 in Győr.