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Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Opole — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
CANC
08:30
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
7/2/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Ludowy

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Zaglebie Sosnowiec38%
×Draw24%
Odra Opole38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.59
Odra Opole
1.60

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 13 home / 8 away

creates per match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.69
Odra Opole
1.13

allows per match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2.08
Odra Opole
1.50

finishing

Zaglebie Sosnowiec+0.00on par
Odra Opole+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zaglebie Sosnowiec ↓

Odra Opole →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw
62%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec or Odra Opole
76%
Draw or Odra Opole
62%

Winning margin

Zaglebie Sosnowiec wins by 2+
19%
Odra Opole wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1+ goals
80%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2+ goals
47%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3+ goals
21%
Odra Opole 1+ goals
80%
Odra Opole 2+ goals
47%
Odra Opole 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Zaglebie Sosnowiec (draw refunded)
50%
Odra Opole (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zaglebie Sosnowiec at home — creates 1.69, concedes 2.08 · 13 matches

Odra Opole away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec attack 1.69 + Odra Opole defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.59

Odra Opole attack 1.13 + Zaglebie Sosnowiec defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Zaglebie Sosnowiec scores more
38%
level
24%
Odra Opole scores more
38%

Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Zaglebie Sosnowiec will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Zaglebie Sosnowiec face Odra Opole (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Zaglebie Sosnowiec hosting Odra Opole. Match starts July 2, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec host Odra Opole at Stadion Ludowy.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.