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Zagłębie Lubin U19 vs Odra Opole U19 — Central Youth League 2020

Zagłębie Lubin U19
Zagłębie Lubin U19
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Odra Opole U19
Odra Opole U19
4/29/2026Central Youth LeagueCentral Youth League · Round 26

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Zagłębie Lubin U1958%
×Draw20%
Odra Opole U1922%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zagłębie Lubin U19
2.29
Odra Opole U19
1.36

Zagłębie Lubin U19 creates 68% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 45 away

creates per match

Zagłębie Lubin U19
2.00
Odra Opole U19
1.22

allows per match

Zagłębie Lubin U19
1.50
Odra Opole U19
2.58

finishing

Zagłębie Lubin U19+0.00on par
Odra Opole U19+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zagłębie Lubin U19 ↓

Odra Opole U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Zagłębie Lubin U19 or draw
78%
Zagłębie Lubin U19 or Odra Opole U19
80%
Draw or Odra Opole U19
42%

Winning margin

Zagłębie Lubin U19 wins by 2+
36%
Odra Opole U19 wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Zagłębie Lubin U19 1+ goals
90%
Zagłębie Lubin U19 2+ goals
66%
Zagłębie Lubin U19 3+ goals
40%
Odra Opole U19 1+ goals
74%
Odra Opole U19 2+ goals
39%
Odra Opole U19 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Zagłębie Lubin U19 (draw refunded)
72%
Odra Opole U19 (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zagłębie Lubin U19 at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 52 matches

Odra Opole U19 away — creates 1.22, concedes 2.58 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zagłębie Lubin U19 attack 2.00 + Odra Opole U19 defence 2.58 → ÷2 → 2.29

Odra Opole U19 attack 1.22 + Zagłębie Lubin U19 defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Zagłębie Lubin U19 scores more
58%
level
20%
Odra Opole U19 scores more
22%

Zagłębie Lubin U19 at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Zagłębie Lubin U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Zagłębie Lubin U19 vs Odra Opole U19

Odra Opole U19 beat Zagłębie Lubin U19 2-0 in Central Youth League on April 29, 2026.