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Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 — Challenge League 2026

Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
Preview
17:30
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
8/28/2026Challenge LeagueChallenge League · Round 5Stade Municipal
Big match
54%
Yverdon Sport
model favours
54%24%22%

Top-of-the-table clash — Yverdon Sport 2 vs FC WIL 1900 4

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Yverdon Sport54%
×Draw24%
FC WIL 190022%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yverdon Sport
1.75
FC WIL 1900
1.03

Yverdon Sport creates 70% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 43 away

creates per match

Yverdon Sport
1.80
FC WIL 1900
1.16

allows per match

Yverdon Sport
0.90
FC WIL 1900
1.70

finishing

Yverdon Sport+0.00on par
FC WIL 1900+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yverdon Sport ↓

FC WIL 1900 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Yverdon Sport or draw
78%
Yverdon Sport or FC WIL 1900
76%
Draw or FC WIL 1900
46%

Winning margin

Yverdon Sport wins by 2+
30%
FC WIL 1900 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Yverdon Sport 1+ goals
83%
Yverdon Sport 2+ goals
52%
Yverdon Sport 3+ goals
25%
FC WIL 1900 1+ goals
64%
FC WIL 1900 2+ goals
28%
FC WIL 1900 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)
71%
FC WIL 1900 (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yverdon Sport at home — creates 1.80, concedes 0.90 · 10 matches

FC WIL 1900 away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.70 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yverdon Sport attack 1.80 + FC WIL 1900 defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.75

FC WIL 1900 attack 1.16 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Yverdon Sport scores more
54%
level
24%
FC WIL 1900 scores more
22%

Yverdon Sport at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Sport
LLWDD
1900
WWLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Yverdon Sport host FC WIL 1900

August 28, 2026: Yverdon Sport take on FC WIL 1900 in Challenge League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Yverdon Sport host FC WIL 1900 at Stade Municipal.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.