Yverdon Sport 0–0 FC WIL 1900: Result & Stats

Yverdon Sport

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

FC WIL 1900

3/13/2026

Challenge League · Round 26Stade Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Yverdon Sport54%

×Draw24%

FC WIL 190022%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Yverdon SportExpected goals in this matchFC WIL 1900

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.75

1.03

Yverdon Sport

1.75

FC WIL 1900

1.03

Yverdon Sport creates 70% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 43 away

1.80

creates per match

1.16

0.90

allows per match

1.70

creates per match

Yverdon Sport

1.80

FC WIL 1900

1.16

allows per match

Yverdon Sport

0.90

FC WIL 1900

1.70

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

FC WIL 1900+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yverdon Sport ↓

FC WIL 1900 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Yverdon Sport or draw

78%

Yverdon Sport or FC WIL 1900

76%

Draw or FC WIL 1900

46%

Winning margin

Yverdon Sport wins by 2+

30%

FC WIL 1900 wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Yverdon Sport 1+ goals

83%

Yverdon Sport 2+ goals

52%

Yverdon Sport 3+ goals

25%

FC WIL 1900 1+ goals

64%

FC WIL 1900 2+ goals

28%

FC WIL 1900 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)

71%

FC WIL 1900 (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yverdon Sport at home — creates 1.80, concedes 0.90 · 10 matches

FC WIL 1900 away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.70 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yverdon Sport attack 1.80 + FC WIL 1900 defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.75

FC WIL 1900 attack 1.16 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Yverdon Sport scores more

54%

level

24%

FC WIL 1900 scores more

22%

Yverdon Sport at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

33'

S. Rapp

54'

A. Chappuis← V. Tasar

56'

58'

60'

65'

65'

P. Coulibaly← M. Hajij

68'

N. Ato-Zandanga

75'

R. Golliard

75'

R. Neelakandan← M. Kanoute

86'

N. Lemina← R. Golliard

86'

H. Sessolo← E. Pasche

86'

U. Saho← L. Breedijk

90'

U. Nwannah← S. Correia

Yverdon

FC

1

31

15

13

26

30

▼

Correia

20

Ndau

11

▼

Breedijk

23

▼

N'djoli

10

▼

14

22

32

24

2

18

44

▼

Pasche

4

Doumbia

26

▼

Golliard

10

Marchesan

20

▼

Tasar

7

▼

Kanoute

Manager: Martin Andermatt

54'▲A. Chappuis←▼V. Tasar

75'▲R. Neelakandan←▼M. Kanoute

86'▲N. Lemina←▼R. Golliard

86'▲H. Sessolo←▼E. Pasche

Yverdon Sport substitutes

1Enzler8Chappuis25Pos12Saiz50Bittarelli37Lemina27Neelakandan82Thiam19Sessolo

Manager: Marco Hammerli

65'▲X. Aliu←▼J. N'djoli

65'▲P. Coulibaly←▼M. Hajij

86'▲U. Saho←▼L. Breedijk

90'▲U. Nwannah←▼S. Correia

FC WIL 1900 substitutes

16Keller21Saho27Berisha3Rutz24Tisch-Rottensteiner19Schreiber25Aliu2Nwannah7Coulibaly