Youssoufia Berrechid 0–1 FAR Rabat: Result & Stats

Youssoufia Berrechid

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

FAR Rabat

5/20/2022

Botola Pro · Round 24Stade Municipal de Berrechid

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Youssoufia Berrechid28%

×Draw29%

FAR Rabat43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Youssoufia BerrechidExpected goals in this matchFAR Rabat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.91

1.21

Youssoufia Berrechid

0.91

FAR Rabat

1.21

FAR Rabat creates 33% more chances

Season form · 75 home / 120 away

0.89

creates per match

1.40

1.03

allows per match

0.92

creates per match

Youssoufia Berrechid

0.89

FAR Rabat

1.40

allows per match

Youssoufia Berrechid

1.03

FAR Rabat

0.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Youssoufia Berrechid+0.00on par

FAR Rabat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Youssoufia Berrechid ↓

FAR Rabat →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–115%

0–29%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–16%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Youssoufia Berrechid or draw

57%

Youssoufia Berrechid or FAR Rabat

71%

Draw or FAR Rabat

72%

Winning margin

Youssoufia Berrechid wins by 2+

10%

FAR Rabat wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Youssoufia Berrechid 1+ goals

60%

Youssoufia Berrechid 2+ goals

23%

Youssoufia Berrechid 3+ goals

6%

FAR Rabat 1+ goals

70%

FAR Rabat 2+ goals

34%

FAR Rabat 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Youssoufia Berrechid (draw refunded)

39%

FAR Rabat (draw refunded)

61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Youssoufia Berrechid at home — creates 0.89, concedes 1.03 · 75 matches

FAR Rabat away — creates 1.40, concedes 0.92 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Youssoufia Berrechid attack 0.89 + FAR Rabat defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.91

FAR Rabat attack 1.40 + Youssoufia Berrechid defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Youssoufia Berrechid scores more

28%

level

29%

FAR Rabat scores more

43%

FAR Rabat at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "FAR Rabat will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola Pro: Youssoufia Berrechid 0–1 FAR Rabat

FAR Rabat beat Youssoufia Berrechid 1-0 in Botola Pro on May 20, 2022.

The match was played at Stade Municipal de Berrechid in Berrechid.

Youssoufia Berrechid vs FAR Rabat — Botola Pro 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Botola Pro: Youssoufia Berrechid 0–1 FAR Rabat