Young Sport Academy vs Aigle Royal de Moungo — Elite One 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 27+ matches
Young Sport Academy43%
Aigle Royal de Moungo28%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Young Sport Academy creates 32% more chances
Season form · 79 home / 27 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under63
- Over37
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No57
- Yes43
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Young Sport Academy ↓
Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Young Sport Academy at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.86 · 79 matches
Aigle Royal de Moungo away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.41 · 27 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Young Sport Academy attack 1.05 + Aigle Royal de Moungo defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.23
Aigle Royal de Moungo attack 1.00 + Young Sport Academy defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.93
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 43%?"
Young Sport Academy at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 43% does not mean "Young Sport Academy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Cotonsport
Dragon de Yaoundé
APEJES Academy
Tonnerre
Union Douala
Colombe
Avion Academy
PWD
New Star
Feutcheu
Stade Renard
UMS de LoumYoung Sport Academy
Fortuna Mfou
Eding Sport
Les Astres
Unisport Bafang
Fovu ClubIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Young Sport Academy host Aigle Royal de Moungo on Sunday, 25 May 2025 at 13:00. The match is part of the Elite One 2019/2020 season.
Young Sport Academy face Aigle Royal de Moungo (Elite One)
Elite One returns with Young Sport Academy hosting Aigle Royal de Moungo. Match starts May 25, 2025. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
Young Sport Academy host Aigle Royal de Moungo at Stade Municipal de Bafoussam.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.