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Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks — Premier League 2019

Young Apostles
Young Apostles
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Swedru All Blacks
Swedru All Blacks
4/12/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 29Wenchi Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Young Apostles50%
×Draw29%
Swedru All Blacks21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Young Apostles
1.32
Swedru All Blacks
0.75

Young Apostles creates 76% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 17 away

creates per match

Young Apostles
1.41
Swedru All Blacks
0.76

allows per match

Young Apostles
0.74
Swedru All Blacks
1.24

finishing

Young Apostles+0.00on par
Swedru All Blacks+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Young Apostles ↓

Swedru All Blacks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Young Apostles or draw
79%
Young Apostles or Swedru All Blacks
71%
Draw or Swedru All Blacks
50%

Winning margin

Young Apostles wins by 2+
24%
Swedru All Blacks wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Young Apostles 1+ goals
73%
Young Apostles 2+ goals
38%
Young Apostles 3+ goals
15%
Swedru All Blacks 1+ goals
53%
Swedru All Blacks 2+ goals
17%
Swedru All Blacks 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Young Apostles (draw refunded)
70%
Swedru All Blacks (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Young Apostles at home — creates 1.41, concedes 0.74 · 34 matches

Swedru All Blacks away — creates 0.76, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Young Apostles attack 1.41 + Swedru All Blacks defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.32

Swedru All Blacks attack 0.76 + Young Apostles defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Young Apostles scores more
50%
level
29%
Swedru All Blacks scores more
21%

Young Apostles at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Young Apostles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks

Young Apostles beat Swedru All Blacks 1-0 in Premier League on April 12, 2026.

The match was played at Wenchi Sports Stadium in Wenchi.