Yenisey W 0–0 Rubin Kazan W: Result & Stats

Yenisey W

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Rubin Kazan W

3/21/2026

Supreme Division Women · Round 2Football Arena Yenisei

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Yenisey W53%

×Draw24%

Rubin Kazan W23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Yenisey WExpected goals in this matchRubin Kazan W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.02

Yenisey W

1.67

Rubin Kazan W

1.02

Yenisey W creates 64% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 68 away

0.97

creates per match

0.53

1.50

allows per match

2.37

creates per match

Yenisey W

0.97

Rubin Kazan W

0.53

allows per match

Yenisey W

1.50

Rubin Kazan W

2.37

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Yenisey W+0.00on par

Rubin Kazan W+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yenisey W ↓

Rubin Kazan W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Yenisey W or draw

77%

Yenisey W or Rubin Kazan W

76%

Draw or Rubin Kazan W

47%

Winning margin

Yenisey W wins by 2+

28%

Rubin Kazan W wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Yenisey W 1+ goals

81%

Yenisey W 2+ goals

50%

Yenisey W 3+ goals

23%

Rubin Kazan W 1+ goals

64%

Rubin Kazan W 2+ goals

27%

Rubin Kazan W 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Yenisey W (draw refunded)

69%

Rubin Kazan W (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yenisey W at home — creates 0.97, concedes 1.50 · 74 matches

Rubin Kazan W away — creates 0.53, concedes 2.37 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yenisey W attack 0.97 + Rubin Kazan W defence 2.37 → ÷2 → 1.67

Rubin Kazan W attack 0.53 + Yenisey W defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Yenisey W scores more

53%

level

24%

Rubin Kazan W scores more

23%

Yenisey W at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Yenisey W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff