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Yantra 2019 vs Vihren — Second League 2018

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Vihren
Vihren
5/11/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 32Stadion Hristo Botev

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Yantra 201940%
×Draw26%
Vihren34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yantra 2019
1.35
Vihren
1.23

Yantra 2019 creates 10% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 16 away

creates per match

Yantra 2019
1.32
Vihren
1.44

allows per match

Yantra 2019
1.01
Vihren
1.38

finishing

Yantra 2019+0.00on par
Vihren+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yantra 2019 ↓

Vihren →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Yantra 2019 or draw
66%
Yantra 2019 or Vihren
74%
Draw or Vihren
60%

Winning margin

Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
18%
Vihren wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Yantra 2019 1+ goals
74%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
39%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
15%
Vihren 1+ goals
71%
Vihren 2+ goals
35%
Vihren 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
54%
Vihren (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yantra 2019 at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.01 · 104 matches

Vihren away — creates 1.44, concedes 1.38 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yantra 2019 attack 1.32 + Vihren defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.35

Vihren attack 1.44 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Yantra 2019 scores more
40%
level
26%
Vihren scores more
34%

Yantra 2019 at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Yantra 2019 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Yantra 2019 vs Vihren

Yantra 2019 and Vihren drew 0-0 in Second League on May 11, 2026.

The match was played at Stadion Hristo Botev in Gabrovo.