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Xi'an Ronghai vs BIT — League Two 2026

Xi'an Ronghai
Xi'an Ronghai
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
BIT
BIT
6/1/2024League TwoLeague Two · Round 10Yan'an Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

Xi'an Ronghai43%
×Draw27%
BIT30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Xi'an Ronghai
1.35
BIT
1.09

Xi'an Ronghai creates 24% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 47 away

creates per match

Xi'an Ronghai
1.25
BIT
0.91

allows per match

Xi'an Ronghai
1.28
BIT
1.45

finishing

Xi'an Ronghai+0.00on par
BIT+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Xi'an Ronghai ↓

BIT →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Xi'an Ronghai or draw
70%
Xi'an Ronghai or BIT
73%
Draw or BIT
57%

Winning margin

Xi'an Ronghai wins by 2+
20%
BIT wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Xi'an Ronghai 1+ goals
74%
Xi'an Ronghai 2+ goals
39%
Xi'an Ronghai 3+ goals
15%
BIT 1+ goals
66%
BIT 2+ goals
30%
BIT 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Xi'an Ronghai (draw refunded)
59%
BIT (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Xi'an Ronghai at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.28 · 36 matches

BIT away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.45 · 47 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Xi'an Ronghai attack 1.25 + BIT defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.35

BIT attack 0.91 + Xi'an Ronghai defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Xi'an Ronghai scores more
43%
level
27%
BIT scores more
30%

Xi'an Ronghai at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Xi'an Ronghai will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Xi'an Ronghai vs BIT

Xi'an Ronghai and BIT drew 1-1 in League Two on June 1, 2024.

The match was played at Yan'an Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium in Yan'an.