Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wydad AC vs Rapide Oued ZEM — Botola Pro 2025

Wydad AC
Wydad AC
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Rapide Oued ZEM
Rapide Oued ZEM
7/7/2021Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 26Stade Mohamed V

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Wydad AC55%
×Draw26%
Rapide Oued ZEM19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wydad AC
1.51
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.78

Wydad AC creates 94% more chances

Season form · 120 home / 60 away

creates per match

Wydad AC
1.79
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.72

allows per match

Wydad AC
0.84
Rapide Oued ZEM
1.23

finishing

Wydad AC+0.00on par
Rapide Oued ZEM+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wydad AC ↓

Rapide Oued ZEM →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Wydad AC or draw
81%
Wydad AC or Rapide Oued ZEM
74%
Draw or Rapide Oued ZEM
45%

Winning margin

Wydad AC wins by 2+
28%
Rapide Oued ZEM wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Wydad AC 1+ goals
78%
Wydad AC 2+ goals
44%
Wydad AC 3+ goals
19%
Rapide Oued ZEM 1+ goals
54%
Rapide Oued ZEM 2+ goals
18%
Rapide Oued ZEM 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Wydad AC (draw refunded)
74%
Rapide Oued ZEM (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wydad AC at home — creates 1.79, concedes 0.84 · 120 matches

Rapide Oued ZEM away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.23 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wydad AC attack 1.79 + Rapide Oued ZEM defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.51

Rapide Oued ZEM attack 0.72 + Wydad AC defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Wydad AC scores more
55%
level
26%
Rapide Oued ZEM scores more
19%

Wydad AC at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Wydad AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola Pro: Wydad AC 2–0 Rapide Oued ZEM

Wydad AC beat Rapide Oued ZEM 2-0 in Botola Pro on July 7, 2021.

The match was played at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca.