Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Würzburger FV vs Stadeln — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Würzburger FV
Würzburger FV
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Stadeln
Stadeln
5/2/2026Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 32Sepp-Endres-Sportanlage

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Würzburger FV51%
×Draw23%
Stadeln26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Würzburger FV
1.83
Stadeln
1.26

Würzburger FV creates 45% more chances

Season form · 69 home / 17 away

creates per match

Würzburger FV
1.55
Stadeln
0.88

allows per match

Würzburger FV
1.65
Stadeln
2.12

finishing

Würzburger FV+0.00on par
Stadeln+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Würzburger FV ↓

Stadeln →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Würzburger FV or draw
74%
Würzburger FV or Stadeln
77%
Draw or Stadeln
49%

Winning margin

Würzburger FV wins by 2+
28%
Stadeln wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Würzburger FV 1+ goals
84%
Würzburger FV 2+ goals
54%
Würzburger FV 3+ goals
28%
Stadeln 1+ goals
72%
Stadeln 2+ goals
36%
Stadeln 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Würzburger FV (draw refunded)
66%
Stadeln (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Würzburger FV at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.65 · 69 matches

Stadeln away — creates 0.88, concedes 2.12 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Würzburger FV attack 1.55 + Stadeln defence 2.12 → ÷2 → 1.83

Stadeln attack 0.88 + Würzburger FV defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Würzburger FV scores more
51%
level
23%
Stadeln scores more
26%

Würzburger FV at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Würzburger FV will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Würzburger FV vs Stadeln

Würzburger FV beat Stadeln 1-0 in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on May 2, 2026.

The match was played at Sepp-Endres-Sportanlage in Würzburg.