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Wuhan Jiangda W vs Bam Khatoon W — AFC Women's Champions League 2024

Wuhan Jiangda W
Wuhan Jiangda W
FT
4 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Bam Khatoon W
Bam Khatoon W
11/23/2025AFC Women's Champions LeagueAFC Women's Champions League · Group Stage - 3Hankou Cultural Sports Centre

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Wuhan Jiangda W41%
×Draw26%
Bam Khatoon W33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wuhan Jiangda W
1.42
Bam Khatoon W
1.25

Wuhan Jiangda W creates 14% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Wuhan Jiangda W
1.33
Bam Khatoon W
1.00

allows per match

Wuhan Jiangda W
1.50
Bam Khatoon W
1.50

finishing

Wuhan Jiangda W+0.00on par
Bam Khatoon W+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wuhan Jiangda W ↓

Bam Khatoon W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Wuhan Jiangda W or draw
67%
Wuhan Jiangda W or Bam Khatoon W
74%
Draw or Bam Khatoon W
59%

Winning margin

Wuhan Jiangda W wins by 2+
19%
Bam Khatoon W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Wuhan Jiangda W 1+ goals
76%
Wuhan Jiangda W 2+ goals
41%
Wuhan Jiangda W 3+ goals
17%
Bam Khatoon W 1+ goals
71%
Bam Khatoon W 2+ goals
36%
Bam Khatoon W 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Wuhan Jiangda W (draw refunded)
55%
Bam Khatoon W (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wuhan Jiangda W at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Bam Khatoon W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wuhan Jiangda W attack 1.33 + Bam Khatoon W defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.42

Bam Khatoon W attack 1.00 + Wuhan Jiangda W defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Wuhan Jiangda W scores more
41%
level
26%
Bam Khatoon W scores more
33%

Wuhan Jiangda W at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Wuhan Jiangda W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Wuhan Jiangda W vs Bam Khatoon W

Wuhan Jiangda W beat Bam Khatoon W 4-0 in AFC Women's Champions League on November 23, 2025.

The match was played at Hankou Cultural Sports Centre in Wuhan.