Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

WSG Wattens vs U Craiova 1948 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
FT
1 – 3
U Craiova 1948
U Craiova 1948
6/29/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportplatz Kematen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

WSG Wattens21%
×Draw22%
U Craiova 194858%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

WSG Wattens
1.08
U Craiova 1948
1.96

U Craiova 1948 creates 81% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 3 away

creates per match

WSG Wattens
1.17
U Craiova 1948
2.33

allows per match

WSG Wattens
1.58
U Craiova 1948
1.00

finishing

WSG Wattens+0.00on par
U Craiova 1948+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

WSG Wattens ↓

U Craiova 1948 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–29%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–37%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–25%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

WSG Wattens or draw
42%
WSG Wattens or U Craiova 1948
78%
Draw or U Craiova 1948
79%

Winning margin

WSG Wattens wins by 2+
8%
U Craiova 1948 wins by 2+
34%

Team goals

WSG Wattens 1+ goals
66%
WSG Wattens 2+ goals
29%
WSG Wattens 3+ goals
10%
U Craiova 1948 1+ goals
86%
U Craiova 1948 2+ goals
58%
U Craiova 1948 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

WSG Wattens (draw refunded)
26%
U Craiova 1948 (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

WSG Wattens at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.58 · 12 matches

U Craiova 1948 away — creates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

WSG Wattens attack 1.17 + U Craiova 1948 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.08

U Craiova 1948 attack 2.33 + WSG Wattens defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

WSG Wattens scores more
21%
level
22%
U Craiova 1948 scores more
58%

U Craiova 1948 at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "U Craiova 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: WSG Wattens vs U Craiova 1948

U Craiova 1948 beat WSG Wattens 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 29, 2021.

The match was played at Sportplatz Kematen in Kematen.