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Wroxham vs Brantham Athletic — League #52 2026

Wroxham
Wroxham
FT
5 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Brantham Athletic
Brantham Athletic
9/9/2025League #52League #52 · Isthmian North - 3Trafford Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Wroxham68%
×Draw19%
Brantham Athletic13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wroxham
2.15
Brantham Athletic
0.81

Wroxham creates 165% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 3 away

creates per match

Wroxham
1.29
Brantham Athletic
0.33

allows per match

Wroxham
1.29
Brantham Athletic
3.00

finishing

Wroxham+0.00on par
Brantham Athletic+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wroxham ↓

Brantham Athletic →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–14%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–14%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Wroxham or draw
87%
Wroxham or Brantham Athletic
81%
Draw or Brantham Athletic
32%

Winning margin

Wroxham wins by 2+
44%
Brantham Athletic wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Wroxham 1+ goals
88%
Wroxham 2+ goals
63%
Wroxham 3+ goals
36%
Brantham Athletic 1+ goals
56%
Brantham Athletic 2+ goals
19%
Brantham Athletic 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Wroxham (draw refunded)
84%
Brantham Athletic (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wroxham at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.29 · 14 matches

Brantham Athletic away — creates 0.33, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wroxham attack 1.29 + Brantham Athletic defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.15

Brantham Athletic attack 0.33 + Wroxham defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Wroxham scores more
68%
level
19%
Brantham Athletic scores more
13%

Wroxham at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Wroxham will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #52: Wroxham 5–0 Brantham Athletic

Wroxham beat Brantham Athletic 5-0 in League #52 on September 9, 2025.

The match was played at Trafford Park in Wroxham, Norfolk.