Wolfsberger AC 8–0 Velden: Result & Stats

Wolfsberger AC

8 – 0

HT: 6 – 0

Velden

D. Zukic 85'

E. Chukwu 59'

D. Avdijaj 42'

E. Kojzek 40', 35', 26', 21'

M. Pink 8'

1/10/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Wolfsberger AC62%

×Draw16%

Velden21%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Wolfsberger ACExpected goals in this matchVelden

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.17

1.88

Wolfsberger AC

3.17

Velden

1.88

Wolfsberger AC creates 69% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 4 away

2.58

creates per match

2.50

1.26

allows per match

3.75

creates per match

Wolfsberger AC

2.58

Velden

2.50

allows per match

Wolfsberger AC

1.26

Velden

3.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Wolfsberger AC+0.00on par

Velden+0.00on par

Total goals

Over87
Under13

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes81
No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wolfsberger AC ↓

Velden →

0–01%

0–11%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1–02%

1–14%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2–03%

2–16%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–34%

3–42%

4–03%

4–15%

4–25%

4–33%

4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

96%4%2.5

87%13%3.5

73%27%4.5

55%45%

Double chance

Wolfsberger AC or draw

79%

Wolfsberger AC or Velden

84%

Draw or Velden

38%

Winning margin

Wolfsberger AC wins by 2+

43%

Velden wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Wolfsberger AC 1+ goals

96%

Wolfsberger AC 2+ goals

82%

Wolfsberger AC 3+ goals

60%

Velden 1+ goals

85%

Velden 2+ goals

56%

Velden 3+ goals

29%

Draw no bet

Wolfsberger AC (draw refunded)

74%

Velden (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

77%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Wolfsberger AC at home — creates 2.58, concedes 1.26 · 19 matches

Velden away — creates 2.50, concedes 3.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Wolfsberger AC attack 2.58 + Velden defence 3.75 → ÷2 → 3.17

Velden attack 2.50 + Wolfsberger AC defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 62%?"

Wolfsberger AC scores more

62%

level

16%

Velden scores more

21%

Wolfsberger AC at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Wolfsberger AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

26'

35'

40'

42'

59'

85'

Wolfsberger

Velden

Manager: Ismail Atalan

Manager: M. Kuster