Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wolfsberger AC vs Omonia Nicosia — UEFA Europa Conference League 2026

Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
D. Zukic 88'
C. Nwaiwu 30'
S. Coulibaly 16'
8/21/2025UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round28 Black Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Wolfsberger AC26%
×Draw26%
Omonia Nicosia48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wolfsberger AC
1.02
Omonia Nicosia
1.50

Omonia Nicosia creates 47% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 19 away

creates per match

Wolfsberger AC
0.67
Omonia Nicosia
1.32

allows per match

Wolfsberger AC
1.67
Omonia Nicosia
1.37

finishing

Wolfsberger AC+0.00on par
Omonia Nicosia+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wolfsberger AC ↓

Omonia Nicosia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–112%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Wolfsberger AC or draw
52%
Wolfsberger AC or Omonia Nicosia
74%
Draw or Omonia Nicosia
74%

Winning margin

Wolfsberger AC wins by 2+
9%
Omonia Nicosia wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Wolfsberger AC 1+ goals
64%
Wolfsberger AC 2+ goals
27%
Wolfsberger AC 3+ goals
8%
Omonia Nicosia 1+ goals
78%
Omonia Nicosia 2+ goals
44%
Omonia Nicosia 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Wolfsberger AC (draw refunded)
35%
Omonia Nicosia (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wolfsberger AC at home — creates 0.67, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

Omonia Nicosia away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.37 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wolfsberger AC attack 0.67 + Omonia Nicosia defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.02

Omonia Nicosia attack 1.32 + Wolfsberger AC defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Wolfsberger AC scores more
26%
level
26%
Omonia Nicosia scores more
48%

Omonia Nicosia at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Omonia Nicosia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12
N. PolsterWolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC · G
8.3

Match Events

9'
Fotios Kitsos
16'
S. Coulibaly↳ C. Eiting
17'
Chibuike Nwaiwu
30'
C. Nwaiwu↳ T. Ballo
64'
A. Gattermayer← M. Pink
64'
D. Atanga← T. Ballo
71'
E. Agyeman← S. Piesinger
78'
A. Chatzigiovanis← W. Semedo
78'
I. Kousoulos← C. Eiting
78'
A. Neofytou← S. Jovetic
81'
F. Wohlmuth← B. Matic
81'
N. Erakovic← Ewandro
88'
D. Zukic
90'
Dejan Zukić
90+1'
Nikolas Panagiotou

Possession

50%Wolfsberger

Shots

18Wolfsberger

Pass accuracy

49%Wolfsberger

Statistics

WolfsbergerOmonia
Overview
50%Possession50%
18Total Shots15
7Corners5
13Fouls9
Shots
18Total Shots15
6On Target6
7Off Target6
5Blocked3
8Inside Box10
10Outside Box5
Passing
50%Possession50%
385Total Passes390
328Accurate Passes338
85%Pass Accuracy87%
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
Discipline
13Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
3Offsides4

UEFA Europa Conference League: Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Omonia Nicosia

Wolfsberger AC beat Omonia Nicosia 2-1 in UEFA Europa Conference League on August 21, 2025.

Goals: S. Coulibaly (16'), C. Nwaiwu (30'), D. Zukic (88').

Wolfsberger AC controlled possession (50%) and registered 18 shots to 15.

The match was played at 28 Black Arena in Klagenfurt.