Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wolfsberger AC vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
M. Pink 62'
1/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Wolfsberger AC56%
×Draw20%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wolfsberger AC
2.38
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.54

Wolfsberger AC creates 55% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 6 away

creates per match

Wolfsberger AC
2.58
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.83

allows per match

Wolfsberger AC
1.26
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2.17

finishing

Wolfsberger AC+0.00on par
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wolfsberger AC ↓

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Wolfsberger AC or draw
75%
Wolfsberger AC or Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
80%
Draw or Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%

Winning margin

Wolfsberger AC wins by 2+
35%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Wolfsberger AC 1+ goals
91%
Wolfsberger AC 2+ goals
68%
Wolfsberger AC 3+ goals
42%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1+ goals
79%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2+ goals
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Wolfsberger AC (draw refunded)
69%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wolfsberger AC at home — creates 2.58, concedes 1.26 · 19 matches

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv away — creates 1.83, concedes 2.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wolfsberger AC attack 2.58 + Metalist 1925 Kharkiv defence 2.17 → ÷2 → 2.38

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack 1.83 + Wolfsberger AC defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Wolfsberger AC scores more
56%
level
20%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scores more
25%

Wolfsberger AC at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Wolfsberger AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

62'
M. Pink
Wolfsberger
Metalist
Ismail Atalan
Manager: Ismail Atalan
Mladen Bartulovic
Manager: Mladen Bartulovic

Match Recap: Wolfsberger AC vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Wolfsberger AC beat Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 18, 2026.

Goals: M. Pink (62').