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Wisła Puławy vs KSZO 1929 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Wisła Puławy
Wisła Puławy
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
KSZO 1929
KSZO 1929
P. Skalecki 73' (pen)
K. Kumoch 57'
2/3/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Wisła Puławy59%
×Draw20%
KSZO 192922%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wisła Puławy
2.31
KSZO 1929
1.35

Wisła Puławy creates 71% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Wisła Puławy
2.80
KSZO 1929
1.50

allows per match

Wisła Puławy
1.20
KSZO 1929
1.83

finishing

Wisła Puławy+0.00on par
KSZO 1929+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wisła Puławy ↓

KSZO 1929 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Wisła Puławy or draw
78%
Wisła Puławy or KSZO 1929
80%
Draw or KSZO 1929
41%

Winning margin

Wisła Puławy wins by 2+
37%
KSZO 1929 wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Wisła Puławy 1+ goals
90%
Wisła Puławy 2+ goals
67%
Wisła Puławy 3+ goals
40%
KSZO 1929 1+ goals
74%
KSZO 1929 2+ goals
39%
KSZO 1929 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Wisła Puławy (draw refunded)
73%
KSZO 1929 (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wisła Puławy at home — creates 2.80, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

KSZO 1929 away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wisła Puławy attack 2.80 + KSZO 1929 defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.31

KSZO 1929 attack 1.50 + Wisła Puławy defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Wisła Puławy scores more
59%
level
20%
KSZO 1929 scores more
22%

Wisła Puławy at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Wisła Puławy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

57'
K. Kumoch
73'
P. SkaleckiPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Wisła Puławy vs KSZO 1929

Wisła Puławy beat KSZO 1929 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 3, 2024.

Goals: K. Kumoch (57'), P. Skalecki (73' pen).