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Wiener SC vs Gloggnitz — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Wiener SC
Wiener SC
Preview
17:30
Gloggnitz
Gloggnitz
8/14/2026Regionalliga - OstRegionalliga - Ost · Ost - 3
49%
Wiener SC
model favours
49%22%29%

Wiener SC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
67%
over 2.5 goals
67%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Wiener SC49%
×Draw22%
Gloggnitz29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wiener SC
1.99
Gloggnitz
1.48

Wiener SC creates 34% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 31 away

creates per match

Wiener SC
1.88
Gloggnitz
1.74

allows per match

Wiener SC
1.23
Gloggnitz
2.10

finishing

Wiener SC+0.00on par
Gloggnitz+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wiener SC ↓

Gloggnitz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Wiener SC or draw
71%
Wiener SC or Gloggnitz
78%
Draw or Gloggnitz
51%

Winning margin

Wiener SC wins by 2+
28%
Gloggnitz wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Wiener SC 1+ goals
86%
Wiener SC 2+ goals
59%
Wiener SC 3+ goals
32%
Gloggnitz 1+ goals
77%
Gloggnitz 2+ goals
43%
Gloggnitz 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Wiener SC (draw refunded)
63%
Gloggnitz (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wiener SC at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.23 · 104 matches

Gloggnitz away — creates 1.74, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wiener SC attack 1.88 + Gloggnitz defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.99

Gloggnitz attack 1.74 + Wiener SC defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Wiener SC scores more
49%
level
22%
Gloggnitz scores more
29%

Wiener SC at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Wiener SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 4.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
SC
LWWW
Gloggnitz
WWWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Wiener SC face Gloggnitz (Regionalliga - Ost)

Regionalliga - Ost returns with Wiener SC hosting Gloggnitz. Match starts August 14, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.