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Widzew Łódź vs CSKA 1948 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
CANC
00:00
CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948
1/30/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Widzew Łódź66%
×Draw18%
CSKA 194816%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Widzew Łódź
2.46
CSKA 1948
1.14

Widzew Łódź creates 116% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 13 away

creates per match

Widzew Łódź
3.15
CSKA 1948
0.92

allows per match

Widzew Łódź
1.35
CSKA 1948
1.77

finishing

Widzew Łódź+0.00on par
CSKA 1948+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Widzew Łódź ↓

CSKA 1948 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–18%
1–24%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Widzew Łódź or draw
84%
Widzew Łódź or CSKA 1948
82%
Draw or CSKA 1948
34%

Winning margin

Widzew Łódź wins by 2+
44%
CSKA 1948 wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Widzew Łódź 1+ goals
91%
Widzew Łódź 2+ goals
70%
Widzew Łódź 3+ goals
44%
CSKA 1948 1+ goals
68%
CSKA 1948 2+ goals
32%
CSKA 1948 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Widzew Łódź (draw refunded)
80%
CSKA 1948 (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Widzew Łódź at home — creates 3.15, concedes 1.35 · 20 matches

CSKA 1948 away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.77 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Widzew Łódź attack 3.15 + CSKA 1948 defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 2.46

CSKA 1948 attack 0.92 + Widzew Łódź defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Widzew Łódź scores more
66%
level
18%
CSKA 1948 scores more
16%

Widzew Łódź at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Widzew Łódź will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Widzew Łódź host CSKA 1948

January 30, 2024: Widzew Łódź take on CSKA 1948 in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Widzew Łódź host CSKA 1948 at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.