Widzew Łódź 2–0 Beşiktaş: Result & Stats

Widzew Łódź

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Beşiktaş

7/10/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Widzew Łódź66%

×Draw19%

Beşiktaş16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Widzew ŁódźExpected goals in this matchBeşiktaş

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.33

1.05

Widzew Łódź

2.33

Beşiktaş

1.05

Widzew Łódź creates 122% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 4 away

3.15

creates per match

0.75

1.35

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Widzew Łódź

3.15

Beşiktaş

0.75

allows per match

Widzew Łódź

1.35

Beşiktaş

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Widzew Łódź+0.00on par

Beşiktaş+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Widzew Łódź ↓

Beşiktaş →

0–03%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1–08%

1–18%

1–24%

1–32%

1–40%

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3–07%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Widzew Łódź or draw

84%

Widzew Łódź or Beşiktaş

81%

Draw or Beşiktaş

34%

Winning margin

Widzew Łódź wins by 2+

43%

Beşiktaş wins by 2+

Team goals

Widzew Łódź 1+ goals

90%

Widzew Łódź 2+ goals

67%

Widzew Łódź 3+ goals

41%

Beşiktaş 1+ goals

65%

Beşiktaş 2+ goals

28%

Beşiktaş 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Widzew Łódź (draw refunded)

81%

Beşiktaş (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Widzew Łódź at home — creates 3.15, concedes 1.35 · 20 matches

Beşiktaş away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Widzew Łódź attack 3.15 + Beşiktaş defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.33

Beşiktaş attack 0.75 + Widzew Łódź defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 66%?"

Widzew Łódź scores more

66%

level

19%

Beşiktaş scores more

16%

Widzew Łódź at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Widzew Łódź will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Widzew

Beşiktaş

Manager: Aleksandar Vukovic

Widzew Łódź substitutes

30Ilic31Golanski33Krzywanski4Zyro5Andreou7Fornalczyk9Zeqiri13Juskiewicz15Ba18Selahi19Teklic20Klukowski22Bukari23Nawrocki29Cybulski40Garcia57Akere91Krajewski

Manager: Vincenzo Italiano

Friendlies Clubs: Widzew Łódź 2–0 Beşiktaş

Widzew Łódź beat Beşiktaş 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2026.

Widzew Łódź vs Beşiktaş — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Widzew Łódź 2–0 Beşiktaş