Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wick Academy vs Brechin — League #730 2026

Wick Academy
Wick Academy
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Brechin
Brechin
3/21/2026League #730League #730

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Wick Academy11%
×Draw19%
Brechin70%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wick Academy
0.70
Brechin
2.09

Brechin creates 199% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 13 away

creates per match

Wick Academy
0.71
Brechin
1.62

allows per match

Wick Academy
2.57
Brechin
0.69

finishing

Wick Academy+0.00on par
Brechin+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wick Academy ↓

Brechin →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–113%
0–213%
0–39%
0–45%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–37%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–13%
2–23%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Wick Academy or draw
30%
Wick Academy or Brechin
81%
Draw or Brechin
89%

Winning margin

Wick Academy wins by 2+
3%
Brechin wins by 2+
45%

Team goals

Wick Academy 1+ goals
50%
Wick Academy 2+ goals
16%
Wick Academy 3+ goals
3%
Brechin 1+ goals
88%
Brechin 2+ goals
62%
Brechin 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Wick Academy (draw refunded)
14%
Brechin (draw refunded)
86%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wick Academy at home — creates 0.71, concedes 2.57 · 7 matches

Brechin away — creates 1.62, concedes 0.69 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wick Academy attack 0.71 + Brechin defence 0.69 → ÷2 → 0.70

Brechin attack 1.62 + Wick Academy defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 2.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Wick Academy scores more
11%
level
19%
Brechin scores more
70%

Brechin at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Brechin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #730: Wick Academy 0–1 Brechin

Brechin beat Wick Academy 1-0 in League #730 on March 21, 2026.