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Westfalia Herne vs Wuppertaler SV — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Westfalia Herne
Westfalia Herne
CANC
16:00
Wuppertaler SV
Wuppertaler SV
7/14/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Polygonvatro-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Westfalia Herne20%
×Draw22%
Wuppertaler SV58%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Westfalia Herne
1.04
Wuppertaler SV
1.92

Wuppertaler SV creates 85% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Westfalia Herne
0.25
Wuppertaler SV
1.83

allows per match

Westfalia Herne
2.00
Wuppertaler SV
1.83

finishing

Westfalia Herne+0.00on par
Wuppertaler SV+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Westfalia Herne ↓

Wuppertaler SV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–110%
0–210%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–25%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Westfalia Herne or draw
42%
Westfalia Herne or Wuppertaler SV
78%
Draw or Wuppertaler SV
80%

Winning margin

Westfalia Herne wins by 2+
7%
Wuppertaler SV wins by 2+
34%

Team goals

Westfalia Herne 1+ goals
65%
Westfalia Herne 2+ goals
28%
Westfalia Herne 3+ goals
9%
Wuppertaler SV 1+ goals
85%
Wuppertaler SV 2+ goals
57%
Wuppertaler SV 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Westfalia Herne (draw refunded)
26%
Wuppertaler SV (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Westfalia Herne at home — creates 0.25, concedes 2.00 · 4 matches

Wuppertaler SV away — creates 1.83, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Westfalia Herne attack 0.25 + Wuppertaler SV defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.04

Wuppertaler SV attack 1.83 + Westfalia Herne defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Westfalia Herne scores more
20%
level
22%
Wuppertaler SV scores more
58%

Wuppertaler SV at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Wuppertaler SV will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Westfalia Herne host Wuppertaler SV

July 14, 2021: Westfalia Herne take on Wuppertaler SV in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Westfalia Herne host Wuppertaler SV at Polygonvatro-Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.