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West Wallsend vs Singleton Strikers — NNSW League 1 2026

West Wallsend
West Wallsend
FT
2 – 0
Singleton Strikers
Singleton Strikers
3/6/2024NNSW League 1NNSW League 1 · Round 1Johnston Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

West Wallsend40%
×Draw22%
Singleton Strikers38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

West Wallsend
1.82
Singleton Strikers
1.75

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 27 home / 28 away

creates per match

West Wallsend
1.93
Singleton Strikers
1.64

allows per match

West Wallsend
1.85
Singleton Strikers
1.71

finishing

West Wallsend+0.00on par
Singleton Strikers+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

West Wallsend ↓

Singleton Strikers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

West Wallsend or draw
62%
West Wallsend or Singleton Strikers
78%
Draw or Singleton Strikers
60%

Winning margin

West Wallsend wins by 2+
21%
Singleton Strikers wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

West Wallsend 1+ goals
84%
West Wallsend 2+ goals
54%
West Wallsend 3+ goals
27%
Singleton Strikers 1+ goals
83%
Singleton Strikers 2+ goals
52%
Singleton Strikers 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

West Wallsend (draw refunded)
52%
Singleton Strikers (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

West Wallsend at home — creates 1.93, concedes 1.85 · 27 matches

Singleton Strikers away — creates 1.64, concedes 1.71 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

West Wallsend attack 1.93 + Singleton Strikers defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.82

Singleton Strikers attack 1.64 + West Wallsend defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

West Wallsend scores more
40%
level
22%
Singleton Strikers scores more
38%

West Wallsend at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "West Wallsend will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

NNSW League 1: West Wallsend 2–0 Singleton Strikers

West Wallsend beat Singleton Strikers 2-0 in NNSW League 1 on March 6, 2024.

The match was played at Johnston Park in Newcastle.