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Werder Bremen II vs TSV Steinbach — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II
CANC
12:00
TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach
2/7/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Werder Bremen II54%
×Draw18%
TSV Steinbach28%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Werder Bremen II
2.76
TSV Steinbach
2.00

Werder Bremen II creates 38% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 12 away

creates per match

Werder Bremen II
3.86
TSV Steinbach
2.00

allows per match

Werder Bremen II
2.00
TSV Steinbach
1.67

finishing

Werder Bremen II+0.00on par
TSV Steinbach+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

81%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Werder Bremen II ↓

TSV Steinbach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–25%
1–33%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
50%50%

Double chance

Werder Bremen II or draw
72%
Werder Bremen II or TSV Steinbach
82%
Draw or TSV Steinbach
46%

Winning margin

Werder Bremen II wins by 2+
34%
TSV Steinbach wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Werder Bremen II 1+ goals
94%
Werder Bremen II 2+ goals
76%
Werder Bremen II 3+ goals
51%
TSV Steinbach 1+ goals
86%
TSV Steinbach 2+ goals
59%
TSV Steinbach 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

Werder Bremen II (draw refunded)
66%
TSV Steinbach (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
76%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Werder Bremen II at home — creates 3.86, concedes 2.00 · 7 matches

TSV Steinbach away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.67 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Werder Bremen II attack 3.86 + TSV Steinbach defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.76

TSV Steinbach attack 2.00 + Werder Bremen II defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Werder Bremen II scores more
54%
level
18%
TSV Steinbach scores more
28%

Werder Bremen II at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Werder Bremen II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Werder Bremen II host TSV Steinbach

February 7, 2026: Werder Bremen II take on TSV Steinbach in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.