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Weidenhausen vs Hanau 93 — Oberliga - Hessen 2020

Weidenhausen
Weidenhausen
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Hanau 93
Hanau 93
2/28/2026Oberliga - HessenOberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 21Sportplatz Chattenloh

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 71+ matches

Weidenhausen48%
×Draw22%
Hanau 9331%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Weidenhausen
1.98
Hanau 93
1.56

Weidenhausen creates 27% more chances

Season form · 71 home / 92 away

creates per match

Weidenhausen
1.75
Hanau 93
1.48

allows per match

Weidenhausen
1.65
Hanau 93
2.21

finishing

Weidenhausen+0.00on par
Hanau 93+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Weidenhausen ↓

Hanau 93 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Weidenhausen or draw
69%
Weidenhausen or Hanau 93
78%
Draw or Hanau 93
52%

Winning margin

Weidenhausen wins by 2+
27%
Hanau 93 wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Weidenhausen 1+ goals
86%
Weidenhausen 2+ goals
59%
Weidenhausen 3+ goals
31%
Hanau 93 1+ goals
79%
Hanau 93 2+ goals
46%
Hanau 93 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Weidenhausen (draw refunded)
61%
Hanau 93 (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Weidenhausen at home — creates 1.75, concedes 1.65 · 71 matches

Hanau 93 away — creates 1.48, concedes 2.21 · 92 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Weidenhausen attack 1.75 + Hanau 93 defence 2.21 → ÷2 → 1.98

Hanau 93 attack 1.48 + Weidenhausen defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Weidenhausen scores more
48%
level
22%
Hanau 93 scores more
31%

Weidenhausen at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Weidenhausen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Weidenhausen vs Hanau 93

Weidenhausen beat Hanau 93 3-0 in Oberliga - Hessen on February 28, 2026.

The match was played at Sportplatz Chattenloh in Meißner.